Short, plain-English explainers for the terms you see in Sit Out. Research only, not financial advice.
Our one-word read on the day: "Don't act" or "Watch". It sums up the market regime, macro risk and flows. Sit Out never says "act"; the strongest call is "Watch".
How active and stretched the Solana market is right now, from cold to hot. Hot markets move fast in both directions. It is context, not a timing tool.
A simple traffic light built from our market and risk checks. "No-go" means conditions do not support new risk; "Caution" means mixed signals. It never tells you to buy or sell.
Price levels where many leveraged positions would be force-closed. Price is sometimes pulled toward big shelves because those closures add buying or selling. Shelves move as traders open and close positions.
A small fee that perpetual-futures traders pay each other every few hours. Positive funding means longs pay shorts (many people are betting up); negative means the reverse. Extreme funding often shows a crowded bet.
"Be on the lookout": a weekly list of tokens worth watching, grouped into Low, Medium and High risk bands. It is a research list, not a recommendation.
Low, Medium and High describe how risky a token looks on our checks (for example thin trading or big price swings), not how likely it is to go up. Even Low risk tokens can fall sharply.
An open standard that lets software (including AI agents) pay for an API call per request with a stablecoin. We count public x402 transactions as a gauge of the agent economy.
Measured activity for major blockchains, taken from public sources and shown side by side. Missing data shows as unavailable; nothing is estimated.
Our model's 6- and 12-month range: a bear case, a base case and a bull case. They are estimates for research, not predictions or advice. Ranges are refreshed about daily.
How much data the target model had to work with: low, medium or high. Low confidence means a wider range and a weaker estimate.
Money moving into or out of US spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs each trading day, in US dollars. Inflows mean funds bought; outflows mean they sold. Data comes from Farside Investors (SoSoValue as backup) and is posted after each US trading day.
About every four years the new-BTC reward per block is cut in half (the halving). People compare cycles on a "days since halving" clock. Past cycles do not predict this one; we only describe where things stand.
We log every published target daily and, when a 6- or 12-month window closes, check whether the real price ended inside our range. Until then it says "too early to score".
Move the sliders to see what price your own assumptions imply. It is your scenario, not our target, and it does not use our model.