Short, plain-English explainers for the terms you see in Sit Out. Research only, not financial advice.
Our one-word read on the day: "Don't act" or "Watch". It sums up the market regime, macro risk and flows. Sit Out never says "act"; the strongest call is "Watch".
How active and stretched the Solana market is right now, from cold to hot. Hot markets move fast in both directions. It is context, not a timing tool.
Calm, Mixed or Stretched, from public readings: stock-market volatility, crowd mood and futures positioning. Calm means readings are near normal; Stretched means they are near extremes, when prices tend to swing more. It is context, never a signal to buy or sell.
Price levels where many borrowed-money bets would be force-closed at once. Price is sometimes pulled toward a big cluster because those forced closures add buying or selling. Clusters move as traders open and close positions.
A small fee that perpetual-futures traders pay each other every few hours. Positive funding means longs pay shorts (many people are betting up); negative means the reverse. Extreme funding often shows a crowded bet.
"Be on the lookout": weekly lists of crypto tokens and stocks worth watching, grouped into Low, Medium and High risk bands. It is a research list, not a recommendation.
Low, Medium and High describe how risky something looks on our checks, not how likely it is to go up. Crypto tokens are rated on trading checks such as liquidity, holders and price swings. Stocks are rated on company fundamentals only: balance sheet, earnings and revenue quality, valuation, debt and how much the stock usually moves. Even Low risk names can fall sharply.
Software, including AI agents, paying for a web request with a stablecoin, one small payment per call, using an open web-payment standard. We count these public payments as a gauge of how much AI agents are already buying from each other.
Measured activity for major blockchains, taken from public sources and shown side by side. Missing data shows as unavailable; nothing is estimated.
Our model's 6- and 12-month range: a bear case, a base case and a bull case. They are estimates for research, not predictions or advice. Ranges are refreshed about daily.
How much data the target model had to work with: low, medium or high. Low confidence means a wider range and a weaker estimate.
Money moving into or out of US spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs each trading day, in US dollars. Inflows mean funds bought; outflows mean they sold. Built from several independent ETF flow trackers and posted after each US trading day.
About every four years the new-BTC reward per block is cut in half (the halving). People compare cycles on a "days since halving" clock. Past cycles do not predict this one; we only describe where things stand.
We log every published target daily and, when a 6- or 12-month window closes, check whether the real price ended inside our range. Until then it says "too early to score".
Move the sliders to see what price your own assumptions imply. It is your scenario, not our target, and it does not use our model.